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Red58
585717.7
447014.5
784022.3
Blue25
421.6
5899.6
66585.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433902060805825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7840
#17
22.31.2
15.817.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End7.7
red by 0.7
4
#13
21.60.8
17.716.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End4.3
Second
5857
#28
17.71.2
15.216.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End4.4
red by 8.1
589
#37
9.60.8
11.710.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.3
Third
4470
#26
14.51.2
8.69.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.1
End8.5
red by 8.7
6658
#35
5.81.3
7.46.1
Auto1.5
Teleop3.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed