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Red88
98013.7
420141.6
499913.9
Blue74
580225.4
9685.9
386328.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6854204060801001201408874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.4
36.738.1
Auto13.1
Teleop21.8
End6.7
red by 13.6
28.00.9
27.128.0
Auto6.4
Teleop12.5
End9.1
Second
4999
#31
13.91.4
13.915.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End2.9
blue by 11.5
5802
#18
25.40.9
21.822.7
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End4.0
Third
980
#34
13.71.4
11.813.2
Auto5.9
Teleop3.8
End4.0
red by 7.8
968
#39
5.90.9
3.54.4
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsMissed