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Red72
450118.2
715748.6
17593.0
Blue103
704227.1
5899.6
420141.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6065405070809010072103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.60.8
40.541.3
Auto10.0
Teleop32.1
End6.5
red by 7.0
41.63.0
29.532.5
Auto13.1
Teleop21.8
End6.7
Second
4501
#22
18.20.8
12.313.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.9
End6.5
blue by 8.8
27.13.3
18.521.8
Auto7.6
Teleop7.4
End12.1
Third
1759
#42
3.01.3
7.38.6
Auto0.7
Teleop1.8
End0.5
blue by 6.6
589
#37
9.62.5
9.712.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsEarned