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Red34
6069.9
115914.2
98013.7
Blue56
71858.3
585717.7
683216.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46422030506070803456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1159
#25
14.21.2
15.213.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.6
End4.7
blue by 3.5
5857
#28
17.70.9
16.317.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End4.4
Second
980
#34
13.70.9
12.912.0
Auto5.9
Teleop3.8
End4.0
blue by 3.0
6832
#20
16.70.6
15.416.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End7.4
Third
606
#33
9.91.2
14.713.5
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End2.8
red by 1.6
7185
#40
8.30.8
8.08.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsEarned