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Red81
66585.8
69641.9
508920.8
Blue59
59914.8
580225.4
450118.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68562040801001201408159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#1
41.90.7
37.938.6
Auto9.5
Teleop22.0
End10.4
red by 16.5
5802
#18
25.40.3
24.024.3
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End4.0
Second
20.80.7
18.419.1
Auto6.5
Teleop6.0
End8.3
red by 2.5
4501
#22
18.20.3
16.917.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.9
End6.5
Third
6658
#35
5.81.1
6.37.3
Auto1.5
Teleop3.4
End0.9
blue by 9.1
599
#21
14.80.3
13.613.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned50%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsMissed