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Red123
420141.6
69641.9
69117.3
Blue72
98013.7
784022.3
340818.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11245010015012372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#1
41.91.2
39.440.7
Auto9.5
Teleop22.0
End10.4
red by 19.6
7840
#17
22.31.1
21.622.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End7.7
Second
41.61.2
40.341.5
Auto13.1
Teleop21.8
End6.7
red by 23.4
3408
#19
18.10.9
16.417.3
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End4.0
Third
691
#15
17.31.2
16.918.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End3.2
red by 3.6
980
#34
13.70.9
12.913.7
Auto5.9
Teleop3.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsEarned