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Red40
499913.9
49644.9
340818.1
Blue60
29429.5
784022.3
508920.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2155040801004060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3408
#19
18.10.9
7.28.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End4.0
blue by 11.3
294
#27
29.50.6
20.521.1
Auto9.6
Teleop17.1
End2.7
Second
4999
#31
13.90.8
11.111.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End2.9
blue by 8.4
7840
#17
22.30.9
12.613.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End7.7
Third
4964
#41
4.91.3
6.07.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.3
End0.2
blue by 15.9
20.80.7
14.415.1
Auto6.5
Teleop6.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned