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Red108
213535.9
510433.8
752811.8
Blue62
350117.8
186821.3
413513.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9150010015010862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.90.4
35.535.9
Auto10.3
Teleop12.7
End12.9
red by 14.7
1868
#12
21.30.2
21.021.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
Second
33.80.4
33.433.8
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End8.8
red by 16.0
3501
#16
17.80.2
17.617.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End4.0
Third
7528
#29
11.80.4
11.311.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End2.6
blue by 2.1
4135
#22
13.90.2
13.613.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End3.3