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Red59
213535.9
1925.1
77779.9
Blue18
6688.2
30456.9
605911.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions531904060801005918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.90.6
27.227.9
Auto10.3
Teleop12.7
End12.9
red by 24.0
6059
#21
11.90.3
4.03.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End2.6
Second
7777
#28
9.91.1
7.88.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
red by 1.7
668
#23
8.20.5
9.18.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Third
192
#33
5.11.1
10.511.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.3
End-0.6
blue by 1.9
3045
#27
6.90.5
9.08.6
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed