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Qual 122022 Monterey Bay Regional
Red72
605911.9
834.1
135120.5
Blue30
517115.9
196716.5
247314.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443502060807230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#5
34.12.1
24.1→26.3
Auto8.6
Teleop21.3
End4.2
red by 17.7
1967
#14
16.50.5
10.4→9.9
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End3.3
Second
1351
#8
20.53.6
12.2→15.8
Auto8.7
Teleop6.9
End4.9
red by 4.6
5171
#18
15.90.5
11.2→10.7
Auto5.7
Teleop5.6
End4.6
Third
6059
#21
11.92.1
3.7→5.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End2.6
blue by 3.0
2473
#20
14.90.3
12.6→12.4
Auto7.1
Teleop3.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned