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Red33
247314.9
68223.5
186821.3
Blue72
502623.0
167119.1
135120.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33520204060801003372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#12
21.30.0
15.715.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
blue by 1.7
5026
#17
23.01.5
19.120.6
Auto7.0
Teleop8.3
End7.6
Second
2473
#20
14.90.0
12.412.3
Auto7.1
Teleop3.9
End3.8
blue by 5.7
20.52.4
15.818.2
Auto8.7
Teleop6.9
End4.9
Third
6822
#35
3.50.0
5.45.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End-2.2
blue by 15.6
1671
#19
19.12.4
11.313.7
Auto6.9
Teleop6.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed35%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsEarned