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Qual 212022 Monterey Bay Regional
Red5
30456.9
688412.6
1925.1
Blue89
186821.3
325625.0
196716.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37490206080100589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6884
#25
12.63.5
17.4→13.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End2.8
blue by 12.4
3256
#9
25.03.0
12.5→15.5
Auto8.6
Teleop11.4
End5.0
Second
3045
#27
6.93.5
10.5→7.1
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End3.4
blue by 14.3
1868
#12
21.33.0
15.7→18.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
Third
192
#33
5.13.5
8.2→4.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.3
End-0.6
blue by 11.4
1967
#14
16.55.0
16.0→21.0
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsEarned