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Red57
97225.3
247314.9
167119.1
Blue143
132358.9
12806.8
594046.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498020406010012014016057143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
#4
25.30.5
22.422.9
Auto9.7
Teleop6.0
End9.7
blue by 33.5
58.97.6
36.544.1
Auto13.2
Teleop33.9
End11.7
Second
1671
#19
19.10.8
15.216.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.0
End6.1
blue by 27.2
46.37.6
24.331.8
Auto12.4
Teleop26.1
End7.8
Third
2473
#20
14.90.5
12.212.7
Auto7.1
Teleop3.9
End3.8
red by 8.1
1280
#32
6.87.6
10.117.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsEarned54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsEarned