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Red78
834.1
74134.4
425526.8
Blue41
30456.9
502623.0
517115.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5843020801007841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#5
34.11.4
28.329.7
Auto8.6
Teleop21.3
End4.2
red by 11.1
5026
#17
23.00.1
23.923.8
Auto7.0
Teleop8.3
End7.6
Second
26.82.4
15.417.7
Auto12.2
Teleop11.1
End3.5
red by 10.9
5171
#18
15.90.2
11.511.3
Auto5.7
Teleop5.6
End4.6
Third
7413
#34
4.42.4
8.911.3
Auto1.2
Teleop1.6
End1.6
blue by 2.5
3045
#27
6.90.2
7.16.9
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsEarned