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Red111
132358.9
247314.9
281324.6
Blue21
1925.1
68223.5
605911.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9475015020011121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.92.8
44.147.0
Auto13.2
Teleop33.9
End11.7
red by 46.9
6059
#21
11.90.2
7.88.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End2.6
Second
2813
#11
24.61.7
20.622.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End9.9
red by 19.5
192
#33
5.10.4
3.53.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.3
End-0.6
Third
2473
#20
14.91.7
12.714.4
Auto7.1
Teleop3.9
End3.8
red by 11.4
6822
#35
3.50.2
6.16.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End-2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned7%Hangar oddsMissed