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Red30
186821.3
41712.3
6688.2
Blue85
834.1
97225.3
510433.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30970501503085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#12
21.30.5
19.819.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
blue by 12.9
8
#5
34.10.2
31.131.3
Auto8.6
Teleop21.3
End4.2
Second
668
#23
8.20.8
10.59.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 25.6
33.80.2
28.328.5
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End8.8
Third
4171
#36
2.30.8
6.86.0
Auto1.6
Teleop-0.9
End1.6
blue by 23.1
972
#4
25.30.2
23.323.5
Auto9.7
Teleop6.0
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed70%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed66%Hangar oddsEarned