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Red62
66654.8
425526.8
167119.1
Blue56
85215.2
605911.9
281324.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464730406070806256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.81.5
20.421.8
Auto12.2
Teleop11.1
End3.5
red by 2.2
2813
#11
24.60.6
20.821.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End9.9
Second
1671
#19
19.11.5
15.817.3
Auto6.9
Teleop6.0
End6.1
red by 3.9
852
#15
15.20.9
11.912.8
Auto6.8
Teleop2.7
End5.7
Third
6665
#30
4.81.5
7.79.2
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
blue by 7.1
6059
#21
11.90.6
10.711.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned