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Red42
826211.6
502623.0
28547.9
Blue44
77779.9
350117.8
12806.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513602060801001201404244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#17
23.00.2
22.422.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.3
End7.6
red by 5.2
3501
#16
17.80.3
15.415.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End4.0
Second
8262
#24
11.60.4
13.613.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.8
End2.3
red by 1.6
7777
#28
9.90.4
11.612.0
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
Third
2854
#31
7.90.4
9.79.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End0.8
red by 1.1
1280
#32
6.80.4
8.79.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed