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Red102
281324.6
196716.5
594046.3
Blue20
41712.3
413513.9
170017.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions952405015010220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.31.6
43.645.3
Auto12.4
Teleop26.1
End7.8
red by 29.3
1700
#13
17.01.1
16.915.9
Auto7.4
Teleop7.1
End2.5
Second
2813
#11
24.61.2
21.022.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End9.9
red by 10.7
4135
#22
13.91.1
12.711.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End3.3
Third
1967
#14
16.51.6
15.216.9
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End3.3
red by 14.2
4171
#36
2.31.1
2.31.2
Auto1.6
Teleop-0.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed