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Red15
247314.9
66654.8
77779.9
Blue68
425526.8
752811.8
517115.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375202060801568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2473
#20
14.91.7
16.114.4
Auto7.1
Teleop3.9
End3.8
blue by 11.9
26.81.9
22.724.6
Auto12.2
Teleop11.1
End3.5
Second
7777
#28
9.92.3
12.09.7
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
blue by 6.0
5171
#18
15.91.9
14.816.7
Auto5.7
Teleop5.6
End4.6
Third
6665
#30
4.82.3
8.56.2
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
blue by 7.0
7528
#29
11.81.9
9.411.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsMissed