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Red43
350117.8
247314.9
826211.6
Blue26
41712.3
196716.5
688412.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48320204060801004326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#16
17.80.0
17.317.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End4.0
red by 1.4
1967
#14
16.50.5
16.616.1
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End3.3
Second
2473
#20
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto7.1
Teleop3.9
End3.8
red by 2.3
6884
#25
12.60.5
13.112.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End2.8
Third
8262
#24
11.60.0
11.311.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.8
End2.3
red by 9.3
4171
#36
2.30.5
2.72.3
Auto1.6
Teleop-0.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed