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Red61
213535.9
510433.8
752811.8
Blue67
281324.6
11429.6
85215.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8971204060801001201401606167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.90.5
35.935.5
Auto10.3
Teleop12.7
End12.9
red by 6.3
114
#10
29.60.1
29.629.5
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End11.8
Second
33.80.5
33.833.4
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End8.8
red by 9.3
2813
#11
24.60.1
24.624.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End9.9
Third
7528
#29
11.80.5
11.811.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End2.6
blue by 3.5
852
#15
15.20.1
15.215.2
Auto6.8
Teleop2.7
End5.7