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Red104
98741.5
347644.1
395210.1
Blue49
807110.7
347315.7
580215.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1093405010015010449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.3
43.143.4
Auto13.5
Teleop19.8
End10.9
red by 28.4
3473
#14
15.70.2
15.515.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End4.2
Second
987
#2
41.50.3
40.640.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.0
End11.9
red by 26.0
5802
#28
15.50.2
15.315.5
Auto6.8
Teleop7.6
End1.0
Third
3952
#15
10.10.3
9.09.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End4.6
blue by 0.7
8071
#23
10.70.2
10.510.7
Auto2.4
Teleop5.6
End2.7