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Red75
420129.5
519927.7
412312.1
Blue61
330914.1
242925.1
29420.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72622040801001207561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.1
28.328.2
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End5.8
red by 4.4
25.10.1
25.125.0
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End10.3
Second
27.70.1
26.726.7
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End7.8
red by 7.2
294
#17
20.50.1
20.520.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.1
End3.7
Third
4123
#41
12.10.1
11.010.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End3.2
blue by 2.0
3309
#18
14.10.1
14.114.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End3.6