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Red33
744713.7
347315.7
55004.4
Blue40
396510.4
64998.6
580215.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30360102040506070803340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#14
15.70.0
11.411.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End4.2
red by 0.2
5802
#28
15.50.7
14.114.8
Auto6.8
Teleop7.6
End1.0
Second
7447
#12
13.70.0
9.39.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End3.2
red by 3.3
3965
#21
10.40.7
10.511.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End3.0
Third
5500
#40
4.40.0
8.48.4
Auto1.5
Teleop1.7
End1.3
blue by 4.1
6499
#31
8.60.7
8.79.5
Auto5.8
Teleop3.7
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed