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Red18
427610.3
64998.6
49999.8
Blue41
440015.2
133932.9
38806.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2354040801001201401841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#25
10.31.2
7.96.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.2
blue by 22.5
32.90.7
25.024.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.1
End7.7
Second
4999
#30
9.81.2
6.65.3
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End3.5
blue by 5.4
15.20.4
13.012.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End1.1
Third
6499
#31
8.61.2
10.89.6
Auto5.8
Teleop3.7
End-1.0
red by 2.5
3880
#22
6.10.7
9.08.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned