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Red45
427610.3
432215.5
852113.5
Blue61
186815.7
580215.5
59717.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33460102040506070804561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#20
15.50.5
15.215.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End3.8
blue by 2.2
597
#7
17.72.2
13.015.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Second
8521
#27
13.50.5
12.112.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.7
End3.9
blue by 2.2
1868
#16
15.72.2
12.314.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End2.6
Third
4276
#25
10.30.5
5.25.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.2
blue by 5.1
5802
#28
15.52.2
16.318.5
Auto6.8
Teleop7.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed