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Qual 382022 Orange County Regional
Red100
98741.5
347644.1
58054.7
Blue44
49999.8
116015.2
133932.9
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7654204010012014010044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#1
44.13.5
28.2→31.7
Auto13.5
Teleop19.8
End10.9
red by 11.3
1339
#3
32.91.1
25.8→24.7
Auto10.1
Teleop15.1
End7.7
Second
987
#2
41.53.5
36.1→39.6
Auto11.6
Teleop18.0
End11.9
red by 26.2
1160
#11
15.21.1
15.4→14.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End4.3
Third
5805
#26
4.73.5
4.5→8.0
Auto0.9
Teleop2.3
End1.5
blue by 5.0
4999
#30
9.81.1
12.7→11.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
68%Cargo oddsEarned34%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsMissed