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Red26
88889.7
186815.7
29420.5
Blue39
59717.7
519927.7
30205.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404801001502639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#17
20.51.4
16.415.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.1
End3.7
blue by 7.2
27.70.3
25.024.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End7.8
Second
1868
#16
15.71.4
13.912.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End2.6
blue by 2.0
597
#7
17.70.6
11.010.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Third
8888
#29
9.72.9
9.76.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End1.0
red by 4.3
3020
#19
5.40.6
8.17.6
Auto1.6
Teleop2.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed60%Hangar oddsEarned