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Red46
166112.5
412312.1
807110.7
Blue47
519927.7
622010.9
58357.6
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2646010203040506070804647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1661
#13
12.51.3
9.610.8
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End2.6
blue by 15.2
27.70.5
26.226.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End7.8
Second
4123
#41
12.12.1
8.410.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End3.2
red by 1.2
6220
#34
10.90.8
7.68.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Third
8071
#23
10.72.1
8.911.0
Auto2.4
Teleop5.6
End2.7
red by 3.1
5835
#32
7.60.8
6.57.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsEarned