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Red14
395210.1
34087.1
440015.2
Blue68
347644.1
88889.7
852113.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336202040801001201468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.21.4
14.413.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End1.1
blue by 29.0
44.11.1
31.732.8
Auto13.5
Teleop19.8
End10.9
Second
3952
#15
10.12.3
10.78.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End4.6
blue by 3.4
8521
#27
13.51.1
12.613.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.7
End3.9
Third
3408
#35
7.12.3
9.77.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 2.6
8888
#29
9.71.1
9.911.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsMissed