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Red48
519927.7
807110.7
116015.2
Blue47
704218.5
242925.1
622010.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574320801004847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.3
26.626.3
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End7.8
red by 2.6
25.10.5
19.920.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End10.3
Second
1160
#11
15.20.4
14.313.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End4.3
blue by 3.3
7042
#10
18.50.5
13.914.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End9.3
Third
8071
#23
10.70.4
11.010.6
Auto2.4
Teleop5.6
End2.7
blue by 0.1
6220
#34
10.90.5
8.38.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsEarned