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Red60
133932.9
744713.7
58357.6
Blue35
41416.1
412312.1
420129.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425202060801006035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.7
22.023.7
Auto10.1
Teleop15.1
End7.7
red by 3.3
29.51.4
30.729.3
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End5.8
Second
7447
#12
13.71.7
12.614.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End3.2
red by 1.7
4123
#41
12.11.3
9.17.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End3.2
Third
5835
#32
7.61.6
5.87.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End2.0
red by 1.5
4141
#37
6.11.3
7.66.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.3
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsEarned24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed