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Red52
166112.5
704218.5
116015.2
Blue10
49999.8
186815.7
38806.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4841102030607080905210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7042
#10
18.50.7
17.718.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End9.3
red by 2.8
1868
#16
15.72.4
18.416.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End2.6
Second
1160
#11
15.20.6
14.515.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End4.3
red by 5.5
4999
#30
9.82.4
12.19.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End3.5
Third
1661
#13
12.50.5
12.312.8
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End2.6
red by 6.4
3880
#22
6.12.6
8.66.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed