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Red63
64998.6
133932.9
86711.8
Blue35
432215.5
807110.7
622010.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443510203040506070806335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.92.3
23.726.0
Auto10.1
Teleop15.1
End7.7
red by 17.4
4322
#20
15.50.1
14.514.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End3.8
Second
867
#33
11.82.3
8.711.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.0
red by 0.9
6220
#34
10.90.1
8.88.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Third
6499
#31
8.62.2
8.010.2
Auto5.8
Teleop3.7
End-1.0
blue by 2.2
8071
#23
10.70.1
10.510.6
Auto2.4
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed