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Red70
98741.5
49999.8
395210.1
Blue31
64998.6
420129.5
55004.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644520801001207031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#2
41.50.4
38.739.1
Auto11.6
Teleop18.0
End11.9
red by 12.0
29.51.3
29.027.7
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End5.8
Second
3952
#15
10.10.4
8.08.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End4.6
red by 1.5
6499
#31
8.61.2
10.29.0
Auto5.8
Teleop3.7
End-1.0
Third
4999
#30
9.80.4
11.311.7
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End3.5
red by 5.3
5500
#40
4.41.2
5.34.1
Auto1.5
Teleop1.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed