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Red33
807110.7
580215.5
723011.3
Blue42
186815.7
116015.2
396510.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375002060801003342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#28
15.50.3
15.014.6
Auto6.8
Teleop7.6
End1.0
blue by 0.2
1868
#16
15.70.4
18.017.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End2.6
Second
7230
#24
11.30.3
11.010.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End0.6
blue by 4.0
1160
#11
15.20.4
15.114.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End4.3
Third
8071
#23
10.70.3
10.610.3
Auto2.4
Teleop5.6
End2.7
red by 0.3
3965
#21
10.40.4
12.512.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed