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Red68
432215.5
704218.5
440015.2
Blue13
744713.7
58054.7
88889.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49340204060806813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7042
#10
18.51.6
16.017.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End9.3
red by 4.8
7447
#12
13.71.8
15.914.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End3.2
Second
4322
#20
15.51.3
14.115.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End3.8
red by 5.8
8888
#29
9.71.7
11.49.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End1.0
Third
15.21.1
14.015.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End1.1
red by 10.4
5805
#26
4.71.7
6.44.7
Auto0.9
Teleop2.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed