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Red82
50254.3
441442.8
35935.1
Blue6
87684.9
26599.0
80067.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4631020406080100826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.84.5
16.521.0
Auto14.5
Teleop21.8
End6.5
red by 33.8
2659
#21
9.03.2
15.011.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End2.5
Second
359
#3
35.14.5
13.818.4
Auto8.2
Teleop16.7
End10.2
red by 27.2
8006
#14
7.83.2
7.64.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Third
5025
#35
4.34.5
11.015.5
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End0.2
blue by 0.6
8768
#33
4.98.6
13.65.0
Auto1.3
Teleop1.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed