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Red54
38599.8
350112.2
97332.3
Blue83
35935.1
9686.7
519925.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58472040801005483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#5
32.30.3
28.528.2
Auto8.2
Teleop19.0
End5.1
blue by 2.7
359
#3
35.12.8
18.421.2
Auto8.2
Teleop16.7
End10.2
Second
3501
#16
12.20.3
9.28.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.9
End4.3
blue by 12.8
25.02.8
17.920.7
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End6.7
Third
3859
#20
9.80.3
15.114.8
Auto3.6
Teleop1.2
End5.0
red by 3.1
968
#31
6.72.8
9.212.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsEarned