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Red36
450111.8
210215.9
85377.8
Blue18
38599.8
510419.0
47117.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4344203040506070803618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#11
15.91.9
16.214.4
Auto7.2
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 3.1
5104
#10
19.02.5
19.917.4
Auto7.8
Teleop8.2
End3.0
Second
11.81.9
18.016.1
Auto1.3
Teleop4.9
End5.6
red by 2.0
3859
#20
9.82.5
11.99.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.2
End5.0
Third
8537
#18
7.81.9
6.74.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.6
red by 0.5
4711
#29
7.32.5
8.96.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed