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Red62
581718.1
87684.9
35935.1
Blue50
9686.7
5899.7
337427.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54350204060801006250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#3
35.11.5
29.931.4
Auto8.2
Teleop16.7
End10.2
red by 7.8
27.20.3
19.219.5
Auto8.9
Teleop13.2
End5.1
Second
5817
#12
18.11.5
16.918.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.5
End3.7
red by 8.5
589
#32
9.70.3
6.87.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End4.1
Third
8768
#33
4.91.5
1.73.2
Auto1.3
Teleop1.9
End1.7
blue by 1.7
968
#31
6.70.3
9.29.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed