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Red26
52858.8
85377.8
48176.7
Blue93
47117.3
167856.8
14528.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1664040801001202693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5285
#34
8.80.5
8.79.2
Auto5.2
Teleop1.1
End2.5
blue by 48.0
56.84.3
40.745.1
Auto13.3
Teleop30.4
End13.1
Second
8537
#18
7.80.5
4.85.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.6
blue by 0.9
1452
#19
8.74.3
6.811.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End2.6
Third
4817
#27
6.70.5
7.68.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End2.1
blue by 0.6
4711
#29
7.34.3
6.410.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed44%Hangar oddsEarned