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Red70
375915.0
441528.2
350112.2
Blue70
50127.8
441442.8
210215.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45622040801007070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.2
Auto7.8
Teleop11.1
End9.3
blue by 14.6
42.8
Auto14.5
Teleop21.8
End6.5
Second
3759
#15
15.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.3
End5.6
blue by 1.0
2102
#11
15.9
Auto7.2
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Third
3501
#16
12.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.9
End4.3
red by 4.4
5012
#28
7.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed