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Red50
48176.7
337427.2
47117.3
Blue74
38599.8
312817.9
519925.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314302060805074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.21.2
12.814.1
Auto8.9
Teleop13.2
End5.1
red by 2.3
25.03.0
14.917.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End6.7
Second
4711
#29
7.31.2
8.810.1
Auto1.7
Teleop3.1
End2.5
blue by 10.5
3128
#13
17.93.0
12.115.1
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End5.9
Third
4817
#27
6.71.2
9.210.4
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End2.1
blue by 3.1
3859
#20
9.83.0
12.115.1
Auto3.6
Teleop1.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsEarned