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Red62
50127.8
337427.2
656021.3
Blue32
210215.9
48176.7
510419.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614020801006232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.4
19.519.9
Auto8.9
Teleop13.2
End5.1
red by 8.3
5104
#10
19.00.9
17.917.0
Auto7.8
Teleop8.2
End3.0
Second
21.30.4
26.927.2
Auto7.5
Teleop10.1
End3.7
red by 5.4
2102
#11
15.90.9
14.413.4
Auto7.2
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Third
5012
#28
7.80.4
8.28.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End0.1
red by 1.1
4817
#27
6.70.9
8.27.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed