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Red71
441528.2
210215.9
44008.8
Blue23
87684.9
50254.3
510419.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49260102030406070807123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.8
20.822.5
Auto7.8
Teleop11.1
End9.3
red by 9.2
5104
#10
19.00.5
17.016.6
Auto7.8
Teleop8.2
End3.0
Second
2102
#11
15.91.8
13.415.2
Auto7.2
Teleop7.3
End1.5
red by 11.0
8768
#33
4.90.5
4.03.5
Auto1.3
Teleop1.9
End1.7
Third
4400
#26
8.81.6
9.010.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End0.9
red by 4.5
5025
#35
4.30.5
6.46.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed