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Red33
16617.4
294510.4
441528.2
Blue56
50127.8
47117.3
97332.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5048102030406070803356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.4
22.521.1
Auto7.8
Teleop11.1
End9.3
blue by 4.2
973
#5
32.30.1
30.530.4
Auto8.2
Teleop19.0
End5.1
Second
2945
#22
10.41.3
13.211.9
Auto6.4
Teleop1.5
End2.4
red by 2.6
5012
#28
7.80.1
9.59.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End0.1
Third
1661
#24
7.41.3
10.79.4
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End1.9
red by 0.1
4711
#29
7.30.1
5.35.2
Auto1.7
Teleop3.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed