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Red42
519925.0
450111.8
14528.7
Blue54
210215.9
350112.2
581718.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57462040804254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.9
27.326.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End6.7
red by 6.8
5817
#12
18.10.8
16.617.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.5
End3.7
Second
11.80.9
14.213.3
Auto1.3
Teleop4.9
End5.6
blue by 4.1
2102
#11
15.90.9
15.316.2
Auto7.2
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Third
1452
#19
8.70.9
10.49.5
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End2.6
blue by 3.5
3501
#16
12.20.9
12.913.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed