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Red50
26599.0
337427.2
510419.0
Blue19
47117.3
375915.0
87684.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43260102030506070805019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.21.3
14.115.3
Auto8.9
Teleop13.2
End5.1
red by 12.3
3759
#15
15.00.8
11.510.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.3
End5.6
Second
5104
#10
19.01.3
12.613.9
Auto7.8
Teleop8.2
End3.0
red by 11.7
4711
#29
7.30.8
10.19.2
Auto1.7
Teleop3.1
End2.5
Third
2659
#21
9.01.3
11.813.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End2.5
red by 4.1
8768
#33
4.90.8
5.04.1
Auto1.3
Teleop1.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed